In August 2026, the Kano State Drugs and Medical Consumables Supply Agency (DMCSA) conducted a three-day Annual Forecast Performance Review workshop from 18 to 20 August, with technical support from the Chartered Institute of Procurement and Supply (CIPS) Health Procurement Africa (HPA) programme.
Representing HPA, Technical Specialist for Nigeria, Pharm. Jimmy Aiden, supported the review process as part of ongoing efforts to institutionalise data-driven forecasting and evidence-based procurement planning within DMCSA operations.
The workshop built on the State Essential Medicines Quantification conducted in August 2025. Participants reviewed forecasted demand against actual consumption data across 964 Stock Keeping Units (SKUs) over a 10-month period, generating critical insights to improve future forecasting accuracy and supply planning.
The review aimed to:
The exercise demonstrated significant progress in forecasting performance, with forecast accuracy improving by 12.9%, from 77.1% to 87.0%, across 964 SKUs. The findings also provided valuable evidence to support procurement and supply chain decisions for the upcoming 12th tender cycle.
The successful review highlights the value of routine forecast performance monitoring as a key component of effective health commodity management. By embedding evidence-based planning processes, Kano State is strengthening its ability to optimise resources, improve procurement outcomes, and ensure the consistent availability of quality-assured medicines for its population.
Through continued collaboration with partners such as DMCSA, HPA remains committed to supporting stronger, more resilient procurement and supply chain systems across Africa.